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20121031
20121031
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Search Results 0 to 49 of about 138 (some duplicates have been removed)
. if that is accurate, then virtually every poll we've seen is wrong, probably favors obama by three or four points more than he's going to get. all polls, poll sisters went in. they jiggered numbers to get back to a sample they believed was accurate. gallup arguing that that is wrong. that we're seeing a shift towards an electorate much more republican than four years ago. >> i think of gallup sort of a little bit, i don't know stojy. there is no sparkle. they don't take risks. i tend to rely on gap yul because they've been around forever. this is a big number. 52-45. coo they just have gotten this wrong? >> this conforms to what they claim they're seeing. they came out and said they thought romney was up six points. i have adopted and you've heard me talk to this before, james carvel rule. he told me his standard was if you're the incumbent you've been in people's living rooms four years. they know who you are. you get the last poll. and the last poll for obama is between 44 and 47 or 48%. so this would imply you're seeing carvel rule coming into affect. i decided last week that i said it's probably g
us a look at early voting. polls showing governor romney leading president obama 52% to 45% among voter who's already cast their ballots. newt gingrich joins us, good evening, sir. your thoughts on the gallup poll of early voters? >> if it's accurate it's devastating for obama. obama played a tremendous amount of effort into building a ground game. they're confident they can turn the vote out early. they talked about it with a sense of achievement. if this is correct, it's a remarkable result. republicans have been saying during all of the snap shots well, don't worry about early voting because republican voters tend to be older, they love to vote on election day. all of a sudden these numbers i'm surprised and i frankly thought i would not have been surprised to see it reversed and see it obama, 52, romney, 45. so this is a shocking number. but it fits something that you may have seen late last week. gallup took all of this september questions, 19,000 people pretty big universe. looking at all of them together as one group. and said the surprise is that this electorate looks more
obama as a modest favorite still and i should say it is not my polling what we go is look at evyone easels poll and average them together and think about the electorial college if you look at ohio still, obama is ahead in most polls of ohio he is ahead in most polls of iowa, wisconsin, and nevada as well and those four states. >> rose: by two or three points. >> two or three-point not an overwhelming margin but you can look historically and how often does a candidate who has a two or three-point lead in an election, does he how often does he convert that to a win and the answer is about 75 percent of the time. >> rose: so you said 75 percent likely obama will be elected? >> that's right because the states are what w call the tipping pot states tt would swing the electorial college margin he has a two or three-point lead, so it is not for sure but we can use statistics and data that just look up how often those lead translate into a win. > > rose: zero so is critical point here is that many people say paul, david brooks wrote a column. >> sure. >> as you know basically saying a poll
's a big reason why barack obama's maintaining this five-point lead. look at the same quinnipiac poll, these internals are brutal for mitt romney. any way you slice it. unless you believe that quinnipiac, one of the most accurate polling that's out there is cooking the books. and if you do, change channels because you're listening to the wrong channel. >> yes. there's that. >> so there's the internals of this poll show that 52% of the people in ohio think the economy is getting better. 47% think the economy is staying the same or getting worse. and when asked who cares more about people like them, president obama leads mitt romney by almost 18 points. john heilemann, if it's ohio, ohio, ohio and the president's maintaining a five-point lead and he's ahead 2-1 in early voting in ohio based on this poll, if you assume that the people at quinnipiac are not in the tank for barack obama and are not sniffing glue and none of us at this table believe that because, again, four years ago and two years ago, quinnipiac was really one of the most accurate polls. >> yeah. >> then this is a firewal
it was all about. directly ahead. recent polling says president obama's job approval rating dropping then rebounding very quickly. what's going on with that and then, we will take you into the storm zone for some personal observations from our correspondent on the scene all day long. those reports after these messages. nobody said an inkjet had to be slow. or that printing in color had to cost a fortune. nobody said an all-in-one had to be bulky. or that you had to print from your desk. at least, nobody said it to us. introducing the business smart inkjet all-in-one series from brother. easy to use, it's the ultimate combination of speed, small size, and low-cost printing. are we there yet? are we there yet? [ male announcer ] it's the question we ask ourselves every day. is it the safest, the most efficient? the kind of vehicle to move not just people... but an industry forward? are we there yet? are we really? [ male announcer ] are we there yet? we are, for now. introducing the all-new seven passenger gl. motor trend's 2013 sport utility of the year. mercedes-benz. the best or not
close presidential race. take a look at the latest national polls of the president obama has just a one-point lead among likely voters. three new swing state polls show the president still in the lead, although with a margin that is shrinking in florida, virginia and ohio. and instead of campaigning, the president went to the red cross in washington, d.c., yesterday. >> this is a tough time for a lot of people. millions of folks all across the eastern seaboard. but america is tougher. and we're tougher because we pull together, we leave nobody behind, we make sure that we respond as a nation and remind ourselves that whenever an american is in need, all of us stand together to make sure that we're providing the help that's necessary. >> mitt romney will resume a full campaign schedule today, stumping in florida. he held a disaster relief event yesterday in ohio. >> we've got people right now that are having some hard times because of this terrible hurricane and the storm that followed it, and your generosity will make a difference. so i want to thank you. >> i want to bring in usa today
said. >>> before sandy, romney was on a roll topping president obama in poll after poll. but in the wake of the devastating superstorm, did sandy stall romney's momentum? here now are keith boykins and robert costa, jonathan colegio. mr. costa, i go to you on the conservative side. i think that barack obama did himself a lot of good. >> barack obama has had a decent week because he's been presidential in handling of this crisis in new jersey and new york. but ha we still see from the romney campaign is he's competitive in pennsylvania. he's competitive in ohio. he's trying harder. did it shake up the narrative, sure, but it's a very close race. >> my pal keith boykins on the other side of the coin. it looks to me like romney has gone behind enemy lines. he's parachuting behind enemy lines in pennsylvania and in michigan and in wisconsin and in iowa. he could be in trouble, keith. >> pennsylvania hasn't voted for a republican since 1988, i think. i mean, these are states that barack obama has never trailed in. it shows just how desperate mitt romney is because he can't co
is in a dead heat. polls give obama a slight edge. some of the other states are close. nobody knows what will happen. what we do know is that romney had a little bit of momentum. he was closing gaps, then everything stopped and the election was put on hold. president obama, you can feel the momentum on his side right now. we will have to see how the election plays out. sandy, beyond being a natural disaster, will always be part of the american electoral history. >> sandy has blunted some of the more bitter partisanship. now. we have six days left until the elections. will we hear a different town when the present its back on the campaign trail? >> slightly different. the president will want to stay optimistic, not suddenly descend into taken some cheap shots or one liners. he is now playing commander in chief of an ongoing crisis. remember, this is not about a day when a storm hits. this will go on for weeks and months. i think you will have an optimistic tone for the president. mitt romney will be going after obama more through his sarah gets. he will have to discuss why there are bette
president obama up 50-45 and then public policy polling, 50-45 those are both five-point leads and then the university of cincinnati has obama with a two-point lead. as you look at that, as far as polling goes six days before an election if we weren't worried about being wrong, etc. we'll put that in the books. >> i don't know if we'll put it in the books. ohio is one of these volatile states. you just want know it can change. you don't look at the 5-5-2 today, you look at the days that the president has been ahead in the poll, even in the margin of error. >> cenk: so let's get a sense of where they stand. obama is leading 48-45 according to the detroit news. according to epic--is that your poll. >> that's a poll i took earlier today. six-point poll. >> cenk: and not michael's poll. 48-42, six-point lead. when you go to wisconsin 51-43 and 51-43. that's marquette. >> that just came out. that's a poll that a lot of journalists in wisconsin--i just talked to someone in wisconsin lee berquist said we're all waiting for that poll. that poll is definitive. >> cenk: so wisconsin look
, the ohio public polls show that, yes, president obama is leading. he lost a little bit of ground, but he's made that back up again. one thing i would point out, chris, is that the obama campaign is seeing very different internal polling than the republicomney campaign is s is. republicans told me earlier this week that last week, their polls showed mitt romney up four to five points in ohio. by monday, mitt romney was leading president obama in these ohio republican internal polls by just one point. they've seen his numbers go down. the obama campaign tells me that he's consistently led two to four points in their internal polling. you might say it's spin, but these two campaigns are seeing very different data. >> do you trust these people that are giving you these numbers? are they just giving you numbers, or do you really believe them? which of these people are the most credible when it comes to numbers when you match them up against other evidence? >> one of the things that the romney campaign was suggesting, just about an hour ago on a conference call that they had, the romney pollst
poll also finds that president obama has a 12-point lead in the battleground states, where it matters. >>> i will come on "morning joe" are you sure you can fit in there? [ chuckles ] ♪ ♪ [ male announcer ] around view monitor with bird's-eye view. nice work. [ male announcer ] introducing the all-new nissan pathfinder. it's our most innovative pathfinder ever. nissan. innovation that excites. ♪ >>> i will come on "morning joe" and i will shave off my mustache of 40 years if we lose any of those three states. >> welcome back to "hardball." that was david axelrod, famous for his mustache. he's with the obama campaign, sounding very bullish on their chances, obama's chance of carrying michigan, minnesota, and of course, pennsylvania. these three states haven't been given much time or attention by the media or the money spenders until lately. that's because the romney camp and their cohorts in the super pac world announce they're now going to start advertising there. they're pouring in over 4 million bucks in pennsylvania, 2 million in michigan, and about $1 million in minnesota. t
but the polls show president obama with a five-point lead. some had it smaller. >> quickly, they say the economy is improving and according to the polls most give president obama a credit for. >> we're actually seeing that people voting for president obama supporting him in polls optimistic and bullish on the state of the economy. if you're a romney voter or you're leaning towards romney in the polls probably have the opposite view. that's where we're going to see in the exit polls come november 6th. >> all right. thank you very much. we appreciate it. taking the audience to breaking news. new video, president obama walking off the helicopter after the aerial tour of new jersey with governor chris christie right there who's certainly been praising the president's response to the storm. we'll hear from the two of them likely within the hour. or very soon. about to take a ground tour. imagine they're talking with people who lost everything or much of what they have. so we'll bring it to you. another image of the day likely the image so many will be talking about and maybe leading up to the electio
times" poll shows president obama maintaining a five point edge in ohio but in the swing states of florida and virginia his lead is shrinking. the race is a dead heat. mitt romney and president obama locked in a statistical tie. sandy up ended the race. >> president obama was knocked off the campaign trail by the storm, cancelling an appearance today in the critical swing state of ohio. on tuesday he visited the red cross headquarters in washington. >> my message to the federal government, no bureaucracy, no red tape, get resources where they are needed as fast as possible as hard as possible and for the duration. >> the president was replaced on the stump by a former commander-in-chief bill clinton. >> obama is far more likely to lift the middle class and give the poor a chance to work their way into it. >> president clinton appeared at a rally in minnesota. recent polls showed president obama's lead is shrinking. clinton made a stop in colorado another state that candidates are fighting hard to win. >> and your generosity this morning touches my heart. >> mitt romney took a br
. it is a poll taken in russia. that's right, all whopping 41 percent of russians want president obama reelected. only 8%, 8% back romney. oh, my goodness. they have cancer that sort of things. those romney supporters may want to kind of watch their backs given what is happening in russia these days. romney will have history on his side heading into next week's election. the republicans have won every single presidential election on november 6th. going back to 1860's when abraham lincoln beat democrat stephen douglas. only five days to get that election in and see if the street continues. i don't see why they don't just call the election based on that historical imperative. new reports tonight that dnc chairman w. wasserman shultz got involved in dated altercation with the florida police officer. he asked her to stop blocking traffic. wasserman shultz was greeting voters outside a polling station in the city of at ventura earlier this week. the policeman asked her to move to the sidewalk, pretty please. she reportedly refused to argue with the officer and the city's mayor he showed up to just a
not great. more people disapprove than approve. that is a weakness for president obama. the position poll the race is even. what it tells me is that romney who had momentum for several weeks his momentum has stopped. the independent voter was romney-ryan had a slightly bigger lead than they do now. the number of people unsure from 29% now down to 16%. most broke for president obam obama. >> bret: early october it was 44-32. you're saying that the obama number goes up. >> yes. >> bret: so does romney-ryan. >> by one. obama-biden went up by 7. romney-ryan went up by one. if you look to the other unsure, 25% in early october. now down to 16%. >> bret: put number two up if you can again. >> so things breaking there more for the incumbent than the challenger. overall, what charles is saying is right. generally things break for the channeler. the income intent a known quantity. but not that it completely breaks for the incumbent. so many battleground obama maintains small lead, but maintaining it. but the fear is that romney momentum would carry him to lead in those states. >> bret: steve? >> t
'm barack obama, there's no poll now moving in his direction, juan, and states that he won by huge margins, he's either tied or just slightly ahead. that's a problem for him. >> well, look. i don't think anyone debates the idea it's going to be a very close race, but the numbers you put out. >> sean: which ones? >> they're all sided. >> ask juan about the npr poll. >> go ahead, dana. >> let's talk about the npr poll. an 8-point swing? >> there's a margin of error, dana. hold on. dana was around in '08, i'm sorry, back in '04 when the poll said that kerry was going to win in a landslide. didn't happen, did it? >> thank goodness. >> that's right, dana. just think for a second. romney has never been ahead. >> sean: he's ahead now. >> in the real clear politics. >> sean: juan, juan, juan. >> colorado, wisconsin. i can keep going. never, ever. >> sean: listen, you can be as delusional if you want. i absolutely like when you live in denial, but here's the reality, dana. romney has florida sewn up, in my opinion. >> oh, my god, come on. >> sean: in virginia the latest poll shows romney ahead. ras
there have been seven polls. all of them have suggested that mr. obama is up within the margin of error by a couple of points on mitt romney. most scenarios, romney can't win without winning here in florida as well as without ohio. so, one of the schools of thought is that the romney camp is trying to hedge against a possible defeat in ohio by expanding the battlefield or trying to into those three blue states. the obama campaign isn't buying it. as we head into the final six days it's very clear it's going to go right down to the wire with anybody's guess in some of the battleground states in the quest for 270 electoral votes. national polls s. tied as is some of those battleground states even with the margin of error. shep? >> shepard: carl cammeron in jacksonville florida tonight. little relief for air travelers coming in and out of the nation's airspace after sandy. earlier today two of new york's airports reopened on a limited basis. jfk and newark liberty international across the river in jersey. port authority which runs all the airports is urging folks to call airlines for infor
by president obama where the polls have always trended towards democrats this year. not towards mr. romney and the g.o.p. pennsylvania, minnesota, and michigan. romney's home state. in the last few days, there have been a handful of polls that the gap has narrowed and romney made ground and come within the margin of error in those states and now he has begun to advertise. these are states the obama campaign is very very confident about. david action sell rod said he would shave his mustache off if he lost any of them. that's a staches has had for 40 years. tough hurdle for mr. romney to clear in ohio. in the last 48 hours or so there have been seven polls. all of them have suggested that mr. obama is up within the margin of error by a couple of points on mitt romney. most scenarios, romney can't win without winning here in florida as well as without ohio. so, one of the schools of thought is that the romney camp is trying to hedge against a possible defeat in ohio by expanding the battlefield or trying to into those three blue states. the obama campaign isn't buying it. as we head into the
polls in three states that were traditionally democrats leaning obama, and president obama won in 2008: pennsylvania, minnesota, and michigan. michigan, of course, is romney's native state and polls suggest obama has the lead but mitt romney has closed the gap to the margin of error. obama campaigns scoffs at this and senior obama advisor axelrod said if they lost any of those he would shave off his mustache of 40 years but mitt romney has considered headed there a sign they think the plafield is expanding beyond the seven states that have been hotly contested and present the romney campaign opportunity to put obama on defense and have the offense ease the path to 270. very, very close, six days left, polls suggest everything is tight and no way to know who has the edge. so, no time for napping, either. >>shepard: i was hoping you got a nap while everyone else was working. >>carl: not a chance. romney is staying busy. >>shepard: thank you, carl cameron. massive gridlock around new york city, 4.3 million people use the subways and there is no subway. commuters returned to work and many
? the reality of history of polls is most of the time with a candidate with a lead as clear as obama has in ohio or wisconsin or invest 23nevada, t candidate wins and this is a reality. often thinking that the polls are close they often still end up going the way they're leaning. remember in wisconsin earlier, democrats thought this is going to be a close race. the polls said walker would win by 7. he did. and with that history in mind, you know, i'm inclined to think that obama's the favorite. that doesn't mean romney can't win but speaks to probability i think. >> don't let toure say you don't have passion. i can feel your passion. i can feel it through the camera. is minnesota in play? i've been hearing silly rumors it could be in play this year for romney. that doesn't sound right. >> i have always thought that minnesota should be in play. it's an overwhelmingly white state. we know that obama's struggling with white voters. a state obama won by ten points last time and keep in mind that means it's closer than wisconsin, pennsylvania, closer than a whole bunch and closer than nevada, states
-by-side with president obama. joining forces in this crisis. and just as our abc news poll out today shows president obama and governor mitt romney in a dead heat, with five days to go before americans get to the polls. your voice, your vote. and abc's jake tapper has more. >> reporter: hurricane sandy has forced the president to cancel his appearance at seven campaign events. but he may have gotten something more valuable. >> you're going to be okay. everybody's safe, right? >> reporter: the opportunity to lead and be seen leading. today with new jersey's republican governor chris christie a shelter in brigantine, new jersey. >> hang in there. >> thank you. >> reporter: theirs was a most public display of bipartisan ship today, a trait many undecided voters process to love, one sorely lacking in washington, d.c. >> he has worked incredibly closely with me and i cannot thank the president enough for his personal concern. >> governor christie, throughout this process, has been responsive, he has put his heart and soul into making sure that the people of new jersey bounce back. even stronger than befo
the newest numbers as this campaign now one week from today, the latest national polls show the momentum is still very much with mitt romney. juan is very worried, and then the most vial pro obama ad to date, this one courtesy of left winger michael moore. we'll play it for you tonight and it will make you sick as hannity continues. [ female announcer ] think a thick cream is the only way to firm skin? challenge the need for such heavy measures with olay. regenerist micro-sculpting serum for firmer skin in 5 days. pretty heavy lifting for such a lightweight. [ female announcer ] olay regenerist. fomeet the 5-passenger. ford c-max hybrid. when you're carrying a lot of weight, c-max has a nice little trait, you see, c-max helps you load your freight, with its foot-activated lift gate. but that's not all you'll see, cause c-max also beats prius v, with better mpg. say hi to the all-new 47 combined mpg c-max hybrid. >> sean: in just one week voters head to the polls and decide what is without question the most important election of our lifetime and with just seven days remaining until the ra
Search Results 0 to 49 of about 138 (some duplicates have been removed)

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